REVISED Predictions for the Next 100 Years. Agree? Disagree? and Why?
I asked this many times over before, but I have rethought and revised my next 100 years predictions:
here is how I see it now:
-we break our unconditional embargo with Cuba and relations between US and South America improve (within next few years)
-Kim Jong Il suffers fatal stroke in say, 8 years, and his successor will be slightly less insane and isolationalist. N. Korea will begin to cooperate with UN sanctions and slowly, relations between North and South Korea and Japan will get better. They will still be nuts, mind you, but the threat of N.Korea and their nuclear program to the world, especially Japan, will be reduced. Without that threat, Japan’s interest in the US will slightly diminish as part of our relationship with Japan is based on their defense from Dear Leader.
-Iraq settles down in terms of insurgency in next year or two, but will still flare up occasionally, much like, say, Lebanon now.
-Afghanistan becomes tough struggle for next 5-10 years but eventually Taliban and Al Qaida will be permanently diminished. US will have reclaimed some international credibility and respect and there will be a small decrease in anti-americanism in Europe and Mid-East.
-Japan and China compete economically, but China has internal issues. The difference in the economies of the poor, central chinese and the chinese of the industrialized cities will render China not as powerful in the global scheme as predicted by some analysts. Japan’s economy expands unchecked, at the forefrunt of the the technological industry. I say this in the next 10 to 20 years.
-At the same time, I predict that the next developing power will in fact be Mexico.
-Relations between Russia and United States becomes more strained over issues of Iran and on nuclear proliferation. (5-10 years)
-Iran covertly tries to develop nuclear (warhead) capabilities, not just civilian nuclear power. (big surprise there). This happens in next 5-10 years.
- In 5-10 years or so years, Israel does what it did to Saddam and to Syria: precision (conventional) air strike on nuclear facilities, i.e enriching, processing, etc. Iran’s nuclear program back to square 1. Iran vows revenge, condemns their actions, but is unable to do anything about it. Russia condemns Israel’s actions, as does UN and NATO. US also condemns Israel’s “rash” actions but still unconditionally supports Israel. Relations b/t Iran and Israel, degrade further, and US and Russian relationship is further strained.
-In next 5 years, global economic crisis will slowly return to normal. I predict a second crisis in about 25-30 years.
-Pakistan helps Iran rebuild nuclear capabilities covertly. We figure this out through our intelligence agencies and impose sanctions to no avail. (10-25 years from now.)
-India also condemns Pakistan and Iran. Slowly, from 20 to 30 years from now, there is an emergence of two main powers (alliances.)
1. B/t US, Israel, UK, France (but so what about the French), India, and China (b/c of its economic interests in US).
2. Iran, Pakistan, Russia, Mexico.
Cuba has become a non issue, as has North Korea, which no longer are pursuing nuclear warheads.
We will end up having a smaller cold war that will last for about 15-20 years. Very scary time when it seems like Iran and Israel will commence nuclear exchange (seems inevitable). Same issue b/t US and Russia.
Globe will at same time undergo a second economic crisis. Russia will be hit hard, and so will its trade partners, especially those interested in commodities, such as Japan. US will ride through and survive. The countries that survive economic crash will win the second cold war.
Russian Federation will dissolve into three or four separate states. Trying to not make the same mistake twice, NATO and UN will immediately step in and help protect against further nuclear proliferation. Efforts prove to be a success. Russia becomes far less powerful.
Without any real backing from Russia, whose power has greatly diminished, Iran will make a desperate move. Isolated with no real allies or supporters, Iran, if still caught up in a radical Islamic mindset like that of the Ayatollah and Ahmedinejad, will try to drop their entire, though meager,nuclear arsenal on Israeli cities such as Tel Aviv. Israel will, before the detonations, retaliate by unloading their entire arsenal on Iran, wiping it off the map, practically. Syria and Egypt and many neighboring countries of Israel will invade Israel in retaliation as of about 2075, and US will step in on their behalf. This will be Wold War III. US and Israel will fight off invaders, however, fallout and after effects of the Iranian nuke render much of Israel uninhabitable and there will be a mass exodus from Israel to the US, England, Australia, etc. Russia and Mexico will then intervene against US for helping Israel and there will be an all out war between US and Russia.
The Russian front will be fought in the air and in space, probably not by nuclear weapons as the theory of Mutually assured Destruction is still applicable. Throughout 21st century, I predict that space will be the new frontier for the military. Whoever has control of the immediate outer space will prevail. i predict this to be America and the russians will lose this frontier as they are already too weak from the second cold war and 2nd economic downturn.
War with Mexico will be by land and by air, a much more conventional style of warfare. The Mexicans will invade the US through Arizona and Texas and through a bitter struggle, eventually recapture a portion of the Southwestern United States. Although Mexico will have developed a space program, they will not be technologically advanced enough to fight a war in space like US and Russia. This advantage if the US will prove to end the 2nd Mex-Am War. The lines will be redrawn, with Mexico extending somewhat into Texas and Arizona.
Relations will be strained for a good 10-15 years between US and Mexico, but eventually they will improve. That will be the last great war for a while.
On a side note, By 2100, I predict climate change and environmental issues will be greatly reduced but not wholly cured by moving towards alternative energies: for power plants: nuclear power, and for cars: electricity.














